According to @rovercrc, Bitcoin BTC has historically alternated between roughly 1,064-day advances from cycle lows to highs and 364-day declines from highs to lows; if that cadence holds, he argues a new ATH could print this week, implying elevated breakout and volatility risk around prior highs, source: Crypto Rover on X, Oct 8, 2025. Time-based analogs are not guarantees and regulators warn that past performance does not predict future results, so traders should treat this as a scenario rather than a certainty, source: U.S. CFTC Risk Disclosure. For trade planning, monitor BTC spot through prior ATH liquidity and track derivatives positioning such as funding rates, open interest, and options skew for signs of crowded longs or squeeze risk, source: Binance Research. Use disciplined risk controls into any breakout attempt, including reduced leverage, staged entries, and clear invalidation levels based on weekly structure, source: CME Group Education. Confirmation quality typically improves when breakouts close on higher timeframes with expanding volume relative to recent averages, source: CMT Association.